Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Picks by market
ResultLigorna to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Ligorna vs Saluzzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Serie D Girone A brings Ligorna against Saluzzo. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ligorna are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Saluzzo are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ligorna, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chisola, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Saluzzo, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Derthona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ligorna 1.9 xG, Saluzzo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ligorna 60%, draw 26%, Saluzzo 14%.
Lower-risk option: Ligorna or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ligorna to win (60%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ligorna 1–0 Saluzzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ligorna60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Saluzzo14%fair 7.17 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.89Ligorna xG
0.84Saluzzo xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.8 Saluzzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Ligorna (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Ligorna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Ligorna to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Recent results
Ligorna – last 6
WWLLDW
27 Sep
@ Chisola
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Celle Varazze
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Derthona
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Biellese
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanremese
2–2
D
17 May
vs Città di Varese
5–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Saluzzo – last 6
DDWWDD
27 Sep
vs Derthona
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Sanremese
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Celle Varazze
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Borgosesia
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Biellese
1–1
D
3 May
vs Derthona
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Saluzzo.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Saluzzo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Saluzzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Saluzzo?
Ligorna vs Saluzzo (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
