Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Derthona vs Alessandria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derthona welcome Alessandria for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Derthona are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Alessandria are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Derthona, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Saluzzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alessandria, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Imperia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derthona 1.3 xG, Alessandria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derthona 42%, draw 23%, Alessandria 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derthona 1–1 Alessandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derthona42%fair 2.39 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Alessandria35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
2.45Expected goals
1.30Derthona xG
1.15Alessandria xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Derthona 1.3 – 1.2 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Derthona to win✗
42%
2.39
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Derthona (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Alessandria +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Derthona to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Derthona / FT Derthona✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Recent results
Derthona – last 6
DWWDWD
27 Sep
@ Saluzzo
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Millesimo
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Ligorna
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Imperia
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Celle Varazze
1–0
W
10 May
vs Gozzano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alessandria – last 5
WWLWW
30 Sep
vs Imperia
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Millesimo
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derthona and Alessandria.
What is the prediction for Derthona vs Alessandria?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Derthona vs Alessandria?
On our numbers Derthona have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alessandria 35%.
How many goals will there be in Derthona vs Alessandria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derthona vs Alessandria?
Our predicted score is Derthona 1–1 Alessandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Derthona vs Alessandria?
Derthona vs Alessandria (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
