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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sanremese v Bra: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT

Bra

DLLDD
Sanremese 49%Draw 21%Bra 29% Expected goals 1.32 – 0.92
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Bra to win @ 3.82 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSanremese to win ✓49% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Sanremese vs Bra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bra travel to face Sanremese on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone A – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sanremese are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Bra are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Sanremese, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gozzano, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bra, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Borgosesia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sanremese, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Bra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanremese 1.3 xG, Bra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanremese 49%, draw 21%, Bra 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.01.
  • Price worth noting: Bra to win @3.82 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanremese 1–0 Bra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanremese49%fair 2.03 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.56
Bra29%fair 3.41 · @3.82
2.25Expected goals
1.32Sanremese xG
0.92Bra xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Sanremese 1.3 – 0.9 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanremese to win ✓49%2.031.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.01 ▲
Draw no betSanremese (draw no bet) ✓63%1.60–
Asian handicapBra +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.02
First team to scoreSanremese to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanremese / FT Sanremese ✓27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Sanremese – last 6

LDLWDW
27 Sep@ Gozzano1–2L
20 Sepvs Saluzzo2–2D
16 Sep@ Chisola0–1L
12 Sepvs Celle Varazze1–0W
6 Sep@ Ligorna2–2D
3 May@ Sestri Levante2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bra – last 6

DLLDDD
20 Sep@ Borgosesia1–1D
16 Sepvs Biellese0–1L
12 Sep@ Lascaris0–1L
6 Sepvs Fezzanese1–1D
26 Apr@ Juventus U232–2D
29 Mar@ Pontedera0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sanremese and Bra.

Sanremese vs Bra head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanremese vs Bra?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sanremese vs Bra?

On our numbers Sanremese have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bra 29%.

How many goals will there be in Sanremese vs Bra?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanremese vs Bra?

Our predicted score is Sanremese 1–0 Bra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sanremese vs Bra?

Sanremese vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.