Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPro Sesto to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chancePro Sesto or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.90
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arconatese welcome Pro Sesto for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Arconatese are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Pro Sesto are 6th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arconatese, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pavia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Pro Sesto, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Oltrepò, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pro Sesto, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.4 for Arconatese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arconatese 0.9 xG, Pro Sesto 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arconatese 13%, draw 22%, Pro Sesto 65%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.96.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arconatese 0–2 Pro Sesto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arconatese13%fair 7.59 · @5.20
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.26
Pro Sesto65%fair 1.55 · @1.60
3.12Expected goals
0.93Arconatese xG
2.20Pro Sesto xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Arconatese 0.9 – 2.2 Pro Sesto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Double chance
Pro Sesto or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.96
Draw no bet
Pro Sesto (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Pro Sesto -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.10
First team to score
Pro Sesto to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Pro Sesto ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.90
–
Recent results
Arconatese – last 5
DLLDL
27 Sep
@ Pavia
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Pro Patria
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Pistoiese
0–5
L
13 Sep
vs Correggese
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ USD Casatese
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Pro Sesto – last 6
WWWWLL
27 Sep
vs Oltrepò
6–1
W
20 Sep
@ Crema
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Città di Varese
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Lentigione
2–3
L
3 May
@ Correggese
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arconatese and Pro Sesto.
What is the prediction for Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
On our numbers Arconatese have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pro Sesto 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
Our predicted score is Arconatese 0–2 Pro Sesto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Arconatese vs Pro Sesto?
Arconatese vs Pro Sesto (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
