Value bet: Lentigione to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLentigione to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceLentigione or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Oltrepò vs Lentigione: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Oltrepò v Lentigione in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Oltrepò are 18th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Lentigione are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Oltrepò, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Pro Sesto, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lentigione, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Città di Varese, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oltrepò 0.7 xG, Lentigione 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oltrepò 14%, draw 20%, Lentigione 66%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Lentigione to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oltrepò 0–2 Lentigione. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oltrepò14%fair 6.98 · @4.86
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.08
Lentigione66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
2.68Expected goals
0.75Oltrepò xG
1.93Lentigione xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Oltrepò 0.7 – 1.9 Lentigione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Lentigione or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.92
Draw no bet
Lentigione (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Lentigione -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
Lentigione to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Lentigione ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Oltrepò – last 6
LLWLWW
27 Sep
@ Pro Sesto
1–6
L
20 Sep
vs Coriano
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Castellanzese
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Brusaporto
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Villa Valle
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lentigione – last 6
DLWWWL
27 Sep
@ Città di Varese
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Coriano
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Castellanzese
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Pro Sesto
3–2
W
17 May
vs Piacenza
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oltrepò and Lentigione.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
On our numbers Oltrepò have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lentigione 66%.
How many goals will there be in Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
Our predicted score is Oltrepò 0–2 Lentigione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oltrepò vs Lentigione?
Oltrepò vs Lentigione (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
