Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellanzese to win ✗60% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 15.45
Castellanzese vs Varesina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Varesina travel to face Castellanzese on Sunday 25 October in the Serie D Girone D – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Castellanzese are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Varesina are 14th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Castellanzese, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Correggese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Varesina, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pro Sesto, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Castellanzese, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Varesina.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Castellanzese 1–2 Varesina. The last 2 head-to-heads: Castellanzese 0 wins, Varesina 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 1.8 xG, Varesina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 60%, draw 19%, Varesina 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellanzese to win (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 1–0 Varesina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellanzese60%fair 1.65 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
Varesina21%fair 4.83 · @5.00
2.73Expected goals
1.81Castellanzese xG
0.92Varesina xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.8 – 0.9 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Our pick is Castellanzese to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Varesina?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Varesina 21%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Varesina?
Castellanzese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
