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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pro Patria v Correggese: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone D · Italy · Carlo Speroni
1–1
FT
Pro Patria 63%Draw 21%Correggese 16% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.73
63%
Betarazi pick

Pro Patria to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPro Patria to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chancePro Patria or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86

Pro Patria vs Correggese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Serie D Girone D brings Pro Patria against Correggese at Carlo Speroni. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Pro Patria are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Correggese are 13th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Pro Patria, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over USD Casatese, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Correggese, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Castellanzese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pro Patria, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Correggese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pro Patria 1.8 xG, Correggese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Patria 63%, draw 21%, Correggese 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pro Patria to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Patria 1–0 Correggese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pro Patria63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
Correggese16%fair 6.13 · @5.00
2.49Expected goals
1.76Pro Patria xG
0.73Correggese xG
43%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Pro Patria 1.8 – 0.7 Correggese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPro Patria to win ✗63%1.581.57
Double chancePro Patria or draw ✓84%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.75–
Draw no betPro Patria (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapPro Patria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scorePro Patria to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultPro Patria ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pro Patria / FT Pro Patria ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.86–

Recent results

Pro Patria – last 6

WWWDLW
18 Oct@ USD Casatese2–1W
11 Octvs Sant'Angelo1–0W
7 Oct@ Città di Varese5–2W
4 Oct@ Varesina0–0D
27 Sepvs Solbiatese0–1L
20 Sep@ Arconatese3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Correggese – last 6

LLWWLW
18 Octvs Castellanzese0–2L
11 Oct@ Pistoiese0–1L
4 Octvs Pavia2–1W
27 Sep@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
20 Sepvs USD Casatese1–3L
16 Sepvs Varesina2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Correggese.

Pro Patria vs Correggese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pro Patria vs Correggese?

Our pick is Pro Patria to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Pro Patria vs Correggese?

On our numbers Pro Patria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Correggese 16%.

How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Correggese?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Correggese?

Our predicted score is Pro Patria 1–0 Correggese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Pro Patria vs Correggese?

Pro Patria vs Correggese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.