Cittadella Vis Modena 20%Draw 20%Pistoiese 60%Expected goals 0.68 – 1.50
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultPistoiese to win ✗60% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cittadella Vis Modena welcome Pistoiese for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 25 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Pistoiese are 1st (leading the league) with 28.
Current form
Cittadella Vis Modena, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oltrepò, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pistoiese, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pavia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pistoiese, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Cittadella Vis Modena.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Pistoiese 5–0 Cittadella Vis Modena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella Vis Modena 0.7 xG, Pistoiese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella Vis Modena 20%, draw 20%, Pistoiese 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella Vis Modena 0–1 Pistoiese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella Vis Modena20%fair 5.00 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
Pistoiese60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
2.18Expected goals
0.68Cittadella Vis Modena xG
1.50Pistoiese xG
40%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 0.7 – 1.5 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pistoiese 60%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
Our predicted score is Cittadella Vis Modena 0–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese?
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
