Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Coriano to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCoriano to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceCoriano or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Coriano vs Arconatese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coriano welcome Arconatese for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 25 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Coriano are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Arconatese are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coriano, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Solbiatese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Arconatese, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Città di Varese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coriano 1.6 xG, Arconatese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coriano 56%, draw 23%, Arconatese 20%.
Lower-risk option: Coriano or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Coriano to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Coriano or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coriano 1–0 Arconatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coriano56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.25
Arconatese20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.64Coriano xG
0.86Arconatese xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Coriano 1.6 – 0.9 Arconatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coriano to win✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Coriano or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Coriano (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Arconatese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Coriano to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coriano / FT Coriano✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Recent results
Coriano – last 6
LLLDWL
21 Oct
@ Solbiatese
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Sant'Angelo
0–2
L
14 Oct
vs Pontedera
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Crema
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Oltrepò
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Lentigione
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arconatese – last 6
LLDDLL
18 Oct
vs Città di Varese
1–5
L
11 Oct
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Pavia
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Pro Patria
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Pistoiese
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coriano and Arconatese.
Our pick is Coriano or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Coriano vs Arconatese?
On our numbers Coriano have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arconatese 20%.
How many goals will there be in Coriano vs Arconatese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coriano vs Arconatese?
Our predicted score is Coriano 1–0 Arconatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coriano vs Arconatese?
Coriano vs Arconatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
