Value bet: Pro Sesto to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPro Sesto to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chancePro Sesto or draw ✗85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sant'Angelo travel to face Pro Sesto on Sunday 25 October in the Serie D Girone D, with Stadio Ernesto Breda the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Pro Sesto are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Sant'Angelo are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pro Sesto, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Varesina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sant'Angelo, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Coriano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pro Sesto, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sant'Angelo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pro Sesto 1.7 xG, Sant'Angelo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Sesto 59%, draw 26%, Sant'Angelo 15%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Pro Sesto to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Sesto 1–0 Sant'Angelo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pro Sesto59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Sant'Angelo15%fair 6.48 · @3.94
2.53Expected goals
1.74Pro Sesto xG
0.79Sant'Angelo xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pro Sesto 1.7 – 0.8 Sant'Angelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✗
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pro Sesto or draw✗
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.87
Draw no bet
Pro Sesto (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sant'Angelo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Pro Sesto to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Pro Sesto ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.22
–
Recent results
Pro Sesto – last 6
DDDWWW
18 Oct
@ Varesina
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Solbiatese
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Arconatese
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Oltrepò
6–1
W
20 Sep
@ Crema
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sant'Angelo – last 6
WLWLLD
18 Oct
vs Coriano
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Pro Patria
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Pavia
3–1
W
4 Oct
vs Castellanzese
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Pistoiese
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Pavia
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Sesto and Sant'Angelo.
What is the prediction for Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
On our numbers Pro Sesto have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sant'Angelo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
Our predicted score is Pro Sesto 1–0 Sant'Angelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo?
Pro Sesto vs Sant'Angelo (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
