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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Correggese v Coriano: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT

Coriano

LLLLD
Correggese 64%Draw 22%Coriano 14% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.61
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
1

Value bet: Correggese to win @ 1.78 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCorreggese to win ✗64% · @1.78
Double chanceCorreggese or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Correggese vs Coriano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Serie D Girone D brings Correggese against Coriano. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Correggese are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Coriano are 15th (lower half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Correggese, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pro Patria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Coriano, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arconatese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Correggese, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Coriano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Correggese 1.7 xG, Coriano 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Correggese 64%, draw 22%, Coriano 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.03.
  • Price worth noting: Correggese to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correggese 1–0 Coriano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Correggese64%fair 1.55 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Coriano14%fair 7.23 · @4.14
2.30Expected goals
1.69Correggese xG
0.61Coriano xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Correggese 1.7 – 0.6 Coriano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCorreggese to win ✗64%1.551.78 ▲
Double chanceCorreggese or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.982.03
Draw no betCorreggese (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapCorreggese -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreCorreggese to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Correggese / FT Correggese ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Correggese – last 6

DLLWWL
25 Oct@ Pro Patria1–1D
18 Octvs Castellanzese0–2L
11 Oct@ Pistoiese0–1L
4 Octvs Pavia2–1W
27 Sep@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
20 Sepvs USD Casatese1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Coriano – last 6

LLLLDW
25 Octvs Arconatese1–2L
21 Oct@ Solbiatese1–2L
18 Oct@ Sant'Angelo0–2L
14 Octvs Pontedera1–2L
11 Octvs Crema0–0D
20 Sep@ Oltrepò1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Correggese and Coriano.

Correggese vs Coriano head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Correggese vs Coriano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Correggese vs Coriano?

On our numbers Correggese have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coriano 14%.

How many goals will there be in Correggese vs Coriano?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Correggese vs Coriano?

Our predicted score is Correggese 1–0 Coriano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Correggese vs Coriano?

Correggese vs Coriano (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.