Value bet: Pro Sesto to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPro Sesto to win ✗42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: USD Casatese v Pro Sesto in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, USD Casatese are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Pro Sesto are 6th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
USD Casatese, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pavia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Pro Sesto, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sant'Angelo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USD Casatese 1.3 xG, Pro Sesto 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USD Casatese 35%, draw 23%, Pro Sesto 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Pro Sesto to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: USD Casatese 1–1 Pro Sesto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USD Casatese35%fair 2.86 · @2.43
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Pro Sesto42%fair 2.36 · @2.65
2.86Expected goals
1.35USD Casatese xG
1.51Pro Sesto xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.3 – 1.5 Pro Sesto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✗
42%
2.36
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Pro Sesto (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
USD Casatese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Pro Sesto to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
USD Casatese – last 6
LLWLWW
25 Oct
@ Pavia
1–3
L
18 Oct
vs Pro Patria
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Pistoiese
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Varesina
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ Correggese
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pro Sesto – last 6
LDDDWW
25 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Varesina
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Solbiatese
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Arconatese
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Oltrepò
6–1
W
20 Sep
@ Crema
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Pro Sesto.
What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?
On our numbers USD Casatese have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pro Sesto 42%.
How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?
Our predicted score is USD Casatese 1–1 Pro Sesto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto?
USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
