Value bet: Cittadella Vis Modena to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Crema v Cittadella Vis Modena in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Crema are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Crema, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lentigione, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cittadella Vis Modena, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pistoiese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Crema 0–0 Cittadella Vis Modena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crema 1.1 xG, Cittadella Vis Modena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crema 35%, draw 23%, Cittadella Vis Modena 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.79.
Price worth noting: Cittadella Vis Modena to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crema 1–1 Cittadella Vis Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crema35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Cittadella Vis Modena42%fair 2.37 · @2.60
2.39Expected goals
1.12Crema xG
1.27Cittadella Vis Modena xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Crema 1.1 – 1.3 Cittadella Vis Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella Vis Modena to win✗
42%
2.37
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.79
Draw no bet
Cittadella Vis Modena (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Crema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Cittadella Vis Modena to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena✗
What is the prediction for Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
On our numbers Crema have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cittadella Vis Modena 42%.
How many goals will there be in Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Our predicted score is Crema 1–1 Cittadella Vis Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Crema vs Cittadella Vis Modena (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
