Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Pistoiese vs Castellanzese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Pistoiese v Castellanzese in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Pistoiese are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 11 matches; Castellanzese are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Pistoiese, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cittadella Vis Modena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Castellanzese, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Varesina, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Castellanzese, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Pistoiese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pistoiese 1.9 xG, Castellanzese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pistoiese 67%, draw 20%, Castellanzese 13%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.88.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pistoiese 2–0 Castellanzese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pistoiese67%fair 1.49 · @1.59
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.85
Castellanzese13%fair 7.83 · @4.92
2.65Expected goals
1.95Pistoiese xG
0.70Castellanzese xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pistoiese 1.9 – 0.7 Castellanzese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✓
67%
1.49
1.59 ▲
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.88
Draw no bet
Pistoiese (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Pistoiese -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Pistoiese to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Pistoiese ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Pistoiese – last 6
LWWLWW
25 Oct
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Pavia
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Correggese
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sestri Levante
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ USD Casatese
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Sant'Angelo
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Castellanzese – last 6
DWWWWW
25 Oct
vs Varesina
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Correggese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Arconatese
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Sant'Angelo
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Crema
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Solbiatese
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pistoiese and Castellanzese.
What is the prediction for Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
On our numbers Pistoiese have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Castellanzese 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
Our predicted score is Pistoiese 2–0 Castellanzese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pistoiese vs Castellanzese?
Pistoiese vs Castellanzese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
