Value bet: Città di Varese to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCittà di Varese to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Varesina vs Città di Varese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Serie D Girone D brings Varesina against Città di Varese. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Varesina are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Città di Varese are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Varesina, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Castellanzese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Città di Varese, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Solbiatese, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Città di Varese, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Varesina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varesina 1.2 xG, Città di Varese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varesina 36%, draw 23%, Città di Varese 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Città di Varese to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varesina 1–1 Città di Varese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varesina36%fair 2.74 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Città di Varese40%fair 2.47 · @2.70
2.49Expected goals
1.20Varesina xG
1.29Città di Varese xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Varesina 1.2 – 1.3 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Varese to win✗
40%
2.47
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.84
Draw no bet
Città di Varese (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Varesina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Città di Varese to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Città di Varese / FT Città di Varese✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Varesina – last 6
DDDDLL
25 Oct
@ Castellanzese
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Pavia
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Pro Patria
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ USD Casatese
2–4
L
20 Sep
vs Pistoiese
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Città di Varese – last 6
DWWLLD
25 Oct
vs Solbiatese
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Arconatese
5–1
W
11 Oct
vs Oltrepò
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Pro Patria
2–5
L
4 Oct
@ Crema
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Lentigione
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varesina and Città di Varese.
What is the prediction for Varesina vs Città di Varese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Varesina vs Città di Varese?
On our numbers Varesina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Città di Varese 40%.
How many goals will there be in Varesina vs Città di Varese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varesina vs Città di Varese?
Our predicted score is Varesina 1–1 Città di Varese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Varesina vs Città di Varese?
Varesina vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
