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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

South Korea v Ecuador: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Suwon World Cup Stadium

South Korea

LLWWW
3–0
FT

Ecuador

LWDLW
South Korea 40%Draw 23%Ecuador 37% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.28
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Ecuador to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSouth Korea to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

South Korea vs Ecuador: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ecuador travel to face South Korea on Thursday 24 September in the Friendlies, with Suwon World Cup Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.

Current form

South Korea, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to South Africa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Ecuador, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mexico, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give South Korea 1.4 xG, Ecuador 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – South Korea 40%, draw 23%, Ecuador 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Ecuador to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Korea 1–1 Ecuador. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

South Korea40%fair 2.50 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Ecuador37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.35South Korea xG
1.28Ecuador xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: South Korea 1.4 – 1.3 Ecuador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouth Korea to win ✓40%2.502.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.85
Draw no betSouth Korea (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapEcuador +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSouth Korea to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT South Korea / FT South Korea ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

South Korea – last 6

LLWWWL
25 Jun@ South Africa0–1L
19 Jun@ Mexico0–1L
12 Junvs Czech Republic2–1W
4 Junvs El Salvador1–0W
31 Mayvs Trinidad and Tobago5–0W
31 Mar@ Austria0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ecuador – last 6

LWDLWW
1 Jul@ Mexico0–2L
25 Junvs Germany2–1W
21 Junvs Curaçao0–0D
15 Jun@ Ivory Coast0–1L
7 Junvs Guatemala3–0W
31 Mayvs Saudi Arabia2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between South Korea and Ecuador.

South Korea vs Ecuador head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Solomon Islands3 Vanuatu3 140%2.20X22%3.30238%2.88 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.62 ✓
FT Papua New Guinea1 New Caledonia2 138%2.20X23%3.10239%3.10 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.75 ✓
FT Palestine2 New Zealand2 115%4.33X26%3.25259%1.80 0.3–1.0xG X2New Zealand or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Japan3 Uruguay1 159%1.80X21%3.30220%4.00 0.8–0.2xG 1XJapan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Netherlands U191 Belgium U191 140%2.10X21%3.50239%2.75 12Either team to win 79%@1.25 ✗
FT China3 Maldives0 184%1.02X11%23.0026%71.00 2.0–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.30 ✓
FT Uzbekistan3 Iran1 135%2.90X24%2.90241%2.40 1.7–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@2.00 ✓
FT Romania U191 Hungary U192 127%2.20X52%3.10221%2.88 1XRomania U19 or draw 79%@1.36 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for South Korea vs Ecuador?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win South Korea vs Ecuador?

On our numbers South Korea have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ecuador 37%.

How many goals will there be in South Korea vs Ecuador?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for South Korea vs Ecuador?

Our predicted score is South Korea 1–1 Ecuador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is South Korea vs Ecuador?

South Korea vs Ecuador (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Suwon World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.