China 84%Draw 11%Maldives 6%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.19
65%
Betarazi pick
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultChina to win ✓84% · @1.02
Double chanceChina or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · @1.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.42
China vs Maldives: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
China welcome Maldives for a Friendlies fixture on Thursday 24 September (12:35 WAT).
Current form
China, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Thailand, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Maldives, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bangladesh U23, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give China 2.0 xG, Maldives 0.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – China 84%, draw 11%, Maldives 6%.
GG/NG: NG (65%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (65%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: China 1–0 Maldives. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
China84%fair 1.19 · @1.02
Draw11%fair 9.36 · @23.00
Maldives6%fair 17.98 · @71.00
2.17Expected goals
1.98China xG
0.19Maldives xG
35%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–022%
3–015%
0–011%
4–07%
1–14%
From our goals model: China 2.0 – 0.2 Maldives expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
China to win✓
84%
1.19
1.02
Double chance
China or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.30
Draw no bet
China (draw no bet)✓
94%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
China -1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
China to score first✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
China ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT China / FT China✗
54%
1.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.42
–
Recent results
China – last 4
DWLW
9 Jun
vs Thailand
0–0
D
5 Jun
@ Singapore
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Cameroon
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Curaçao
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Maldives – last 3
DLW
7 Jun
vs Bangladesh U23
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Pakistan
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Timor-Leste
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China and Maldives.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win China vs Maldives?
On our numbers China have a 84% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Maldives 6%.
How many goals will there be in China vs Maldives?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China vs Maldives?
Our predicted score is China 1–0 Maldives, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is China vs Maldives?
China vs Maldives (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Solomon Islands3
Vanuatu3
Papua New Guinea1
New Caledonia2
Palestine2
New Zealand2
Japan3
Uruguay1
South Korea3
Ecuador0
Netherlands U191
Belgium U191
Uzbekistan3
Iran1
Romania U191
Hungary U192