Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Japan v Uruguay: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Hitomebore Stadium Miyagi

Japan

LDWDW
3–1
FT

Uruguay

LDDDD
Japan 59%Draw 21%Uruguay 20% Expected goals 0.80 – 0.20
80%
Betarazi pick

Japan or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Japan to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJapan to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceJapan or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29% · fair 3.40

Japan vs Uruguay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Japan welcome Uruguay to Hitomebore Stadium Miyagi for a Friendlies fixture on Thursday 24 September (11:05 WAT).

Current form

Japan, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brazil, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Uruguay, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spain, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Japan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Uruguay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Japan 0.8 xG, Uruguay 0.2 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Japan 59%, draw 21%, Uruguay 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Japan or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Japan to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Japan or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Japan 0–0 Uruguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Japan59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.30
Uruguay20%fair 4.99 · @4.00
1.00Expected goals
0.80Japan xG
0.20Uruguay xG
41%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–029%
2–012%
0–17%
1–16%
3–03%

From our goals model: Japan 0.8 – 0.2 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJapan to win ✓59%1.681.80 ▲
Double chanceJapan or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betJapan (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapUruguay +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreJapan to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓66%1.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29%3.40–

Recent results

Japan – last 6

LDWDWW
29 Jun@ Brazil1–2L
26 Junvs Sweden1–1D
21 Jun@ Tunisia4–0W
14 Jun@ Netherlands2–2D
31 Mayvs Iceland1–0W
31 Mar@ England1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Uruguay – last 5

LDDDD
27 Junvs Spain0–1L
21 Junvs Cape Verde Islands2–2D
15 Jun@ Saudi Arabia1–1D
31 Mar@ Algeria0–0D
27 Mar@ England1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Japan and Uruguay.

Japan vs Uruguay head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
FT Solomon Islands3 Vanuatu3 140%2.20X22%3.30238%2.88 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.62 ✓
FT Papua New Guinea1 New Caledonia2 138%2.20X23%3.10239%3.10 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.75 ✓
FT Palestine2 New Zealand2 115%4.33X26%3.25259%1.80 0.3–1.0xG X2New Zealand or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT South Korea3 Ecuador0 140%2.25X23%3.00237%3.00 1.4–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✗
FT Netherlands U191 Belgium U191 140%2.10X21%3.50239%2.75 12Either team to win 79%@1.25 ✗
FT China3 Maldives0 184%1.02X11%23.0026%71.00 2.0–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.30 ✓
FT Uzbekistan3 Iran1 135%2.90X24%2.90241%2.40 1.7–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@2.00 ✓
FT Romania U191 Hungary U192 127%2.20X52%3.10221%2.88 1XRomania U19 or draw 79%@1.36 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Japan vs Uruguay?

Our pick is Japan or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Japan vs Uruguay?

On our numbers Japan have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Uruguay 20%.

How many goals will there be in Japan vs Uruguay?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Japan vs Uruguay?

Our predicted score is Japan 0–0 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Japan vs Uruguay?

Japan vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 11:05 (West Africa Time) at Hitomebore Stadium Miyagi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.