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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Palestine v New Zealand: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Tongliang Long Stadium

Palestine

DD
2–2
FT

New Zealand

LLDLL
Palestine 15%Draw 26%New Zealand 59% Expected goals 0.26 – 0.99
85%
Betarazi pick

New Zealand or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNew Zealand to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceNew Zealand or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗28% · fair 3.53

Palestine vs New Zealand: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New Zealand travel to face Palestine on Thursday 24 September in the Friendlies, with Tongliang Long Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT.

Current form

New Zealand, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Belgium, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Palestine 0.3 xG, New Zealand 1.0 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 87% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Palestine 15%, draw 26%, New Zealand 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: New Zealand or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (62%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was New Zealand or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palestine 0–0 New Zealand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Palestine15%fair 6.67 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
New Zealand59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
1.25Expected goals
0.26Palestine xG
0.99New Zealand xG
38%Both score
13%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–029%
0–128%
0–214%
1–07%
1–17%
0–35%

From our goals model: Palestine 0.3 – 1.0 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew Zealand to win ✗59%1.691.80 ▲
Double chanceNew Zealand or draw ✓85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗62%1.621.85 ▲
Draw no betNew Zealand (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapPalestine +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
First team to scoreNew Zealand to score first56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓61%1.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗28%3.53–

Recent results

Palestine – last 2

DD
9 Jun@ Kyrgyzstan0–0D
6 Jun@ Kyrgyzstan0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

New Zealand – last 6

LLDLLW
27 Junvs Belgium1–5L
22 Junvs Egypt1–3L
16 Jun@ Iran2–2D
6 Jun@ England0–1L
3 Jun@ Haiti0–4L
30 Marvs Chile4–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Palestine and New Zealand.

Palestine vs New Zealand head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
FT Solomon Islands3 Vanuatu3 140%2.20X22%3.30238%2.88 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.62 ✓
FT Papua New Guinea1 New Caledonia2 138%2.20X23%3.10239%3.10 1.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.75 ✓
FT Japan3 Uruguay1 159%1.80X21%3.30220%4.00 0.8–0.2xG 1XJapan or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT South Korea3 Ecuador0 140%2.25X23%3.00237%3.00 1.4–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✗
FT Netherlands U191 Belgium U191 140%2.10X21%3.50239%2.75 12Either team to win 79%@1.25 ✗
FT China3 Maldives0 184%1.02X11%23.0026%71.00 2.0–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 65%@1.30 ✓
FT Uzbekistan3 Iran1 135%2.90X24%2.90241%2.40 1.7–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@2.00 ✓
FT Romania U191 Hungary U192 127%2.20X52%3.10221%2.88 1XRomania U19 or draw 79%@1.36 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palestine vs New Zealand?

Our pick is New Zealand or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Palestine vs New Zealand?

On our numbers Palestine have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and New Zealand 59%.

How many goals will there be in Palestine vs New Zealand?

We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Palestine vs New Zealand?

Our predicted score is Palestine 0–0 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.

When is Palestine vs New Zealand?

Palestine vs New Zealand (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.