Uzbekistan v Iran Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIran to win ✗41% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @2.00

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16

Uzbekistan vs Iran: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Thursday 24 September: Uzbekistan v Iran in the Friendlies.

Current form

Uzbekistan, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Congo DR, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Iran, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Egypt, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Iran, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Uzbekistan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uzbekistan 1.7 xG, Iran 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Uzbekistan 35%, draw 24%, Iran 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uzbekistan 1–1 Iran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uzbekistan35%fair 2.86 · @2.90

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90

Iran41%fair 2.46 · @2.40

3.63Expected goals

1.74Uzbekistan xG

1.89Iran xG

63%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

1–28%

2–18%

2–27%

1–35%

0–15%

From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.7 – 1.9 Iran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Iran to win ✗	41%	2.46	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Iran (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Uzbekistan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
First team to score	Iran to score first ✗	51%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	35%	2.83	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Iran / FT Iran ✗	26%	3.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.16	–

Uzbekistan – last 6

LLLLLW

28 Jun	@ Congo DR	1–3	L
23 Jun	@ Portugal	0–5	L
18 Jun	vs Colombia	1–3	L
8 Jun	@ Netherlands	1–2	L
2 Jun	@ Canada	0–2	L
27 Mar	vs Gabon	3–1	W

1.0Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Iran – last 6

DDDWWL

27 Jun	@ Egypt	1–1	D
21 Jun	@ Belgium	0–0	D
16 Jun	vs New Zealand	2–2	D
29 May	vs Gambia	3–1	W
31 Mar	@ Costa Rica	5–0	W
27 Mar	vs Nigeria	1–2	L

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Iran?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Uzbekistan vs Iran?

On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iran 41%.

How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Iran?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Iran?

Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 1–1 Iran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Uzbekistan vs Iran?

Uzbekistan vs Iran (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Uzbekistan v Iran: numbers & prediction

Uzbekistan

Iran

Both teams to score