Bournemouth 49%Draw 21%AC Milan 29%Expected goals 1.73 – 1.27
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bournemouth welcome AC Milan to Vitality Stadium for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 22 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Bournemouth are 2nd, among the top four, on 12 points after 4 matches; AC Milan are 28th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Bournemouth, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sunderland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
AC Milan, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atalanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.7 xG, AC Milan 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 49%, draw 21%, AC Milan 29%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 AC Milan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth49%fair 2.02 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
AC Milan29%fair 3.41 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
1.73Bournemouth xG
1.27AC Milan xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.7 – 1.3 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✓
49%
2.02
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
AC Milan +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Bournemouth – last 6
WWLLWD
18 Oct
vs Sunderland
2–0
W
15 Oct
vs Sturm Graz
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Chelsea
1–5
L
20 Sep
vs Liverpool
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Brentford
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AC Milan – last 6
WWDWLD
18 Oct
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
15 Oct
@ Red Bull Salzburg
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Lecce
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Benfica
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Lazio
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and AC Milan.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AC Milan 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 AC Milan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Bournemouth vs AC Milan (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
