Value bet: Lyon to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result1899 Hoffenheim to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon in the UEFA Europa League, played at Prezero Arena. In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim are 23rd, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Lyon are 13th (upper half) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
1899 Hoffenheim, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Borussia Mönchengladbach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Lyon, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nice, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lyon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 1899 Hoffenheim 1.9 xG, Lyon 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 1899 Hoffenheim 42%, draw 20%, Lyon 38%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Lyon to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
1899 Hoffenheim42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.75
Lyon38%fair 2.66 · @3.25
3.75Expected goals
1.931899 Hoffenheim xG
1.82Lyon xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.9 – 1.8 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1899 Hoffenheim to win✓
42%
2.36
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Draw no bet
1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Lyon +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
1899 Hoffenheim to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1899 Hoffenheim / FT 1899 Hoffenheim✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
1899 Hoffenheim – last 6
WLLLLW
18 Oct
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Beşiktaş
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Hamburger SV
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ SC Paderborn 07
1–3
L
17 Sep
@ OFI
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs VfB Stuttgart
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
WWLWWD
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Lens
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rennes
4–0
W
16 Sep
@ Anderlecht
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Paris FC
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon.
What is the prediction for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
On our numbers 1899 Hoffenheim have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lyon 38%.
How many goals will there be in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Prezero Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
