Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAnderlecht to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: Jagiellonia v Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League, played at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. In the table, Jagiellonia are 29th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Anderlecht are 15th (upper half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zaglebie Lubin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Anderlecht, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Beerschot VA, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Anderlecht, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Jagiellonia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.4 xG, Anderlecht 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 36%, draw 22%, Anderlecht 43%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Jagiellonia to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Anderlecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
Anderlecht43%fair 2.35 · @2.20
2.93Expected goals
1.39Jagiellonia xG
1.54Anderlecht xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.5 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anderlecht to win✓
43%
2.35
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Anderlecht (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Jagiellonia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Anderlecht to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia – last 6
LWLLLL
18 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
15 Oct
vs Ararat-Armenia
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 6
LLWWLW
18 Oct
@ Beerschot VA
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ Dinamo Zagreb
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Zulte Waregem
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Lyon
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Anderlecht.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Anderlecht 43%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
