Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Sociedad to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceReal Sociedad or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Sociedad travel to face Lillestrom on Thursday 22 October in the UEFA Europa League, with Åråsen Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 34th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Real Sociedad are 20th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
Lillestrom, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sandefjord, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Real Sociedad, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Malaga, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 0.6 xG, Real Sociedad 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 16%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad 65%.
Lower-risk option: Real Sociedad or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Sociedad to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 0–1 Real Sociedad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lillestrom16%fair 6.10 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.40
Real Sociedad65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
2.17Expected goals
0.58Lillestrom xG
1.59Real Sociedad xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 0.6 – 1.6 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Real Sociedad or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.70
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Real Sociedad to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Lillestrom – last 6
WDDWLL
18 Oct
@ Sandefjord
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Sparta Praha
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Molde
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bærum
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Viking
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Torreense
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 6
WDWWLL
18 Oct
@ Malaga
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Deportivo La Coruna
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Valencia
3–2
W
17 Sep
vs Bournemouth
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atletico Madrid
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Real Sociedad to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad 65%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 0–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
