Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✓61% · @1.50

Double chanceOlympiakos Piraeus or draw ✓83% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha in the UEFA Europa League, played at Karaiskakis Stadium. In the table, Olympiakos Piraeus are 6th, upper half, on 10 points after 4 matches; Sparta Praha are 22nd (lower half) with 4.

Current form

Olympiakos Piraeus, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Panetolikos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sparta Praha, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Baník Ostrava, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olympiakos Piraeus 1.9 xG, Sparta Praha 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Olympiakos Piraeus 61%, draw 21%, Sparta Praha 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Olympiakos Piraeus to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olympiakos Piraeus61%fair 1.63 · @1.50

Draw21%fair 4.65 · @4.20

Sparta Praha17%fair 5.85 · @5.80

2.75Expected goals

1.88Olympiakos Piraeus xG

0.87Sparta Praha xG

52%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

2–011%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

0–06%

From our goals model: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.9 – 0.9 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Olympiakos Piraeus to win ✓	61%	1.63	1.50
Double chance	Olympiakos Piraeus or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	1.85
Draw no bet	Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Olympiakos Piraeus -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.93	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.17	–
First team to score	Olympiakos Piraeus to score first ✓	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Olympiakos Piraeus / FT Olympiakos Piraeus ✗	39%	2.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.17	–

Olympiakos Piraeus – last 6

WWWWWL

18 Oct	@ Panetolikos	2–0	W
15 Oct	@ Marseille	1–0	W
11 Oct	vs Panathinaikos	1–0	W
20 Sep	@ Levadiakos	1–0	W
16 Sep	vs Jagiellonia	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs OFI	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sparta Praha – last 6

DDWWWW

18 Oct	@ Baník Ostrava	0–0	D
15 Oct	vs Lillestrom	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Pardubice	2–0	W
2 Oct	vs Vysočina Jihlava	5–3	W
20 Sep	@ Sigma Olomouc	3–0	W
16 Sep	@ Ararat-Armenia	4–1	W

2.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Our pick is Olympiakos Piraeus to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

On our numbers Olympiakos Piraeus have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sparta Praha 17%.

How many goals will there be in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Our predicted score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Karaiskakis Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha: numbers & prediction