Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBenfica to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Omonia Nicosia welcome Benfica to GSP Stadium for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 22 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Omonia Nicosia are 18th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Benfica are 1st (leading the league) with 12.
Current form
Omonia Nicosia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Olympiakos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Benfica, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Celtic, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Omonia Nicosia 1.0 xG, Benfica 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Omonia Nicosia 14%, draw 21%, Benfica 65%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Benfica to win (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omonia Nicosia 1–2 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Omonia Nicosia14%fair 7.06 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.80
Benfica65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
3.29Expected goals
1.01Omonia Nicosia xG
2.28Benfica xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Omonia Nicosia 1.0 – 2.3 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
65%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Benfica (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Benfica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Benfica to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
DWWWWD
19 Oct
vs Olympiakos
2–2
D
15 Oct
@ Celje
3–0
W
9 Oct
@ Karmiotissa
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Krasava Ypsonas
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Benfica – last 6
WWLWWW
15 Oct
vs Celtic
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Vitória SC
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ FC Porto
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ AC Milan
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs GIL Vicente
3–1
W
9 Sep
@ Moreirense
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Omonia Nicosia and Benfica.
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our pick is Benfica to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
On our numbers Omonia Nicosia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica 65%.
How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Omonia Nicosia 1–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
