Plzen 62%Draw 20%Levski Sofia 18%Expected goals 2.02 – 0.98
82%
Betarazi pick
Plzen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Plzen to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlzen to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chancePlzen or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Plzen vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plzen welcome Levski Sofia to Doosan Arena for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 22 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Plzen are 30th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Levski Sofia are 10th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Plzen, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FK Jablonec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Levski Sofia, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Spartak Pleven, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plzen 2.0 xG, Levski Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plzen 62%, draw 20%, Levski Sofia 18%.
Lower-risk option: Plzen or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Plzen to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plzen or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plzen 2–0 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plzen62%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.70
Levski Sofia18%fair 5.55 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
2.02Plzen xG
0.98Levski Sofia xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Plzen 2.0 – 1.0 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win✗
62%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Plzen or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Plzen (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Plzen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Plzen to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Plzen ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Plzen – last 6
WLWLLL
18 Oct
@ FK Jablonec
3–2
W
15 Oct
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Mlada Boleslav
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Slavia Praha
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sigma Olomouc
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Levski Sofia – last 6
WDWLDL
18 Oct
@ Spartak Pleven
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Cherno More Varna
2–0
W
17 Sep
vs Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plzen and Levski Sofia.
Our pick is Plzen or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
On our numbers Plzen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Levski Sofia 18%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
Our predicted score is Plzen 2–0 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
Plzen vs Levski Sofia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Doosan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
