Getafe v Brighton Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBrighton to win ✓62% · @1.53

Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓86% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Getafe vs Brighton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Brighton travel to face Getafe on Thursday 5 November in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Coliseum the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Getafe are 31st, lower half, on 1 points after 3 matches; Brighton are 5th (upper half) with 7.

Current form

Getafe, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sevilla, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Brighton, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manchester City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Brighton, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Getafe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Getafe 0.8 xG, Brighton 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Getafe 14%, draw 24%, Brighton 62%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Getafe 0–2 Brighton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Getafe14%fair 7.32 · @6.50

Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90

Brighton62%fair 1.61 · @1.53

2.81Expected goals

0.84Getafe xG

1.97Brighton xG

55%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%

0–212%

1–110%

1–210%

0–38%

1–36%

From our goals model: Getafe 0.8 – 2.0 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Brighton to win ✓	62%	1.61	1.53
Double chance	Brighton or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Brighton (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Brighton -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.42	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.11
First team to score	Brighton to score first ✓	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Brighton ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Brighton / FT Brighton ✗	41%	2.45	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.19	–

Getafe – last 6

WWLLDD

1 Nov	vs Sevilla	3–1	W
29 Oct	@ Lebrijana	3–2	W
25 Oct	@ Athletic Club	0–4	L
22 Oct	vs FC Lugano	2–5	L
19 Oct	vs Rayo Vallecano	1–1	D
15 Oct	@ Universitatea Craiova	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Brighton – last 6

WDLDWW

31 Oct	@ Manchester City	1–0	W
28 Oct	@ Manchester City	2–2	D
25 Oct	@ Liverpool	0–2	L
22 Oct	@ FK Jablonec	0–0	D
18 Oct	vs Crystal Palace	5–0	W
15 Oct	vs Kauno Žalgiris	4–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Brighton?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Getafe vs Brighton?

On our numbers Getafe have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brighton 62%.

How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Brighton?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Brighton?

Our predicted score is Getafe 0–2 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Getafe vs Brighton?

Getafe vs Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Getafe v Brighton: numbers & prediction