Monaco v FC Nordsjaelland Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMonaco to win ✓68% · @1.40

Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓87% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Nordsjaelland travel to face Monaco on Thursday 5 November in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Stade Louis II the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Monaco are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 3 matches; FC Nordsjaelland are 25th (lower half) with 2.

Current form

Monaco, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Paris FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC Nordsjaelland, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Midtjylland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monaco 2.4 xG, FC Nordsjaelland 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Monaco 68%, draw 20%, FC Nordsjaelland 13%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Monaco to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monaco 2–0 FC Nordsjaelland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monaco68%fair 1.48 · @1.40

Draw20%fair 5.09 · @5.25

FC Nordsjaelland13%fair 7.94 · @6.50

3.43Expected goals

2.43Monaco xG

1.00FC Nordsjaelland xG

60%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–08%

1–18%

3–08%

3–18%

From our goals model: Monaco 2.4 – 1.0 FC Nordsjaelland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Monaco to win ✓	68%	1.48	1.40
Double chance	Monaco or draw ✓	87%	1.14	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.57
Draw no bet	Monaco (draw no bet) ✓	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	Monaco -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
First team to score	Monaco to score first ✓	69%	1.46	–
Half-time result	Monaco ahead at half-time ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Monaco / FT Monaco ✓	46%	2.17	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.46	–

Monaco – last 6

LDWLWD

1 Nov	@ Paris FC	1–3	L
25 Oct	vs Lille	1–1	D
22 Oct	vs SC Freiburg	3–0	W
18 Oct	@ Lorient	0–1	L
15 Oct	@ CSKA Sofia	2–1	W
10 Oct	vs Toulouse	2–2	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FC Nordsjaelland – last 6

LWDDDD

1 Nov	vs FC Midtjylland	2–3	L
28 Oct	@ Esbjerg	1–0	W
25 Oct	@ Silkeborg	1–1	D
22 Oct	vs CSKA Sofia	2–2	D
18 Oct	@ Lyngby	3–3	D
15 Oct	@ Heart Of Midlothian	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Our pick is Monaco to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?

On our numbers Monaco have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Nordsjaelland 13%.

How many goals will there be in Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Our predicted score is Monaco 2–0 FC Nordsjaelland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Monaco v FC Nordsjaelland: numbers & prediction