Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓71% · @1.42

Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓90% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.56

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 5 November the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Panathinaikos against CSKA Sofia at Olympic Stadium of Athens. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Panathinaikos are 2nd, among the top four, on 9 points after 3 matches; CSKA Sofia are 28th (lower half) with 1.

Current form

Panathinaikos, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AEK Athens FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

CSKA Sofia, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slavia Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Panathinaikos, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for CSKA Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panathinaikos 2.4 xG, CSKA Sofia 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Panathinaikos 71%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia 10%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panathinaikos71%fair 1.42 · @1.42

Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.75

CSKA Sofia10%fair 10.07 · @7.00

3.24Expected goals

2.40Panathinaikos xG

0.84CSKA Sofia xG

53%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%

2–19%

1–09%

3–09%

1–18%

3–18%

From our goals model: Panathinaikos 2.4 – 0.8 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Panathinaikos to win ✓	71%	1.42	1.42
Double chance	Panathinaikos or draw ✓	90%	1.11	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	1.83
Draw no bet	Panathinaikos (draw no bet) ✓	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Panathinaikos -1 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.18
First team to score	Panathinaikos to score first	71%	1.40	–
Half-time result	Panathinaikos ahead at half-time ✗	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos ✗	48%	2.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.56	–

Panathinaikos – last 6

WWWWWW

1 Nov	vs AEK Athens FC	2–0	W
28 Oct	vs Aris Thessalonikis	2–1	W
25 Oct	@ Volos NFC	1–0	W
22 Oct	@ Kairat Almaty	5–1	W
18 Oct	vs Asteras Tripolis	5–1	W
15 Oct	vs Borac Banja Luka	2–1	W

2.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

CSKA Sofia – last 6

DWDWLW

31 Oct	vs Slavia Sofia	0–0	D
26 Oct	vs Ludogorets	2–0	W
22 Oct	@ FC Nordsjaelland	2–2	D
18 Oct	@ Nesebar	2–0	W
15 Oct	vs Monaco	1–2	L
11 Oct	@ CSKA 1948	3–2	W

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CSKA Sofia 10%.

How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia: numbers & prediction