Riga vs FK Jablonec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Riga v FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Skonto stadions. In the table, Riga are 19th, lower half, on 3 points after 3 matches; FK Jablonec are 23rd (lower half) with 2. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Riga, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ogre United, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
FK Jablonec, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Slavia Praha, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for FK Jablonec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 1.4 xG, FK Jablonec 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 43%, draw 21%, FK Jablonec 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga43%fair 2.35 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
FK Jablonec36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
2.71Expected goals
1.42Riga xG
1.28FK Jablonec xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Riga 1.4 – 1.3 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✗
43%
2.35
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
FK Jablonec +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Riga to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Riga – last 6
DWDWDW
1 Nov
@ Ogre United
0–0
D
26 Oct
@ Grobiņa
5–2
W
22 Oct
@ Pafos
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Super Nova
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Kairat Almaty
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Tukums
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 6
LWDLLW
31 Oct
vs Slavia Praha
0–5
L
25 Oct
@ Hradec Králové
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Brighton
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Plzen
2–3
L
15 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Zbrojovka Brno
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and FK Jablonec.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Riga have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Jablonec 36%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Riga vs FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
