On Thursday 5 November the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Twente against Pafos at De Grolsch Veste. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Twente are 3rd, among the top four, on 9 points after 3 matches; Pafos are 30th (lower half) with 1.
Current form
Twente, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Excelsior, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pafos, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Apollon Limassol, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Twente, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Pafos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Twente 2.7 xG, Pafos 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Twente 74%, draw 15%, Pafos 11%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Twente to win (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Twente 2–0 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Twente74%fair 1.35 · @1.28
Draw15%fair 6.64 · @6.25
Pafos11%fair 9.05 · @8.50
3.69Expected goals
2.71Twente xG
0.98Pafos xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Twente 2.7 – 1.0 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Twente (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Twente -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
First team to score
Twente to score first✗
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Twente – last 6
WWWLWD
1 Nov
@ Excelsior
9–0
W
25 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDDDLW
31 Oct
@ Apollon Limassol
2–2
D
26 Oct
@ Nea Salamis
0–0
D
22 Oct
vs Riga
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Apoel Nicosia
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and Pafos.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Twente vs Pafos?
On our numbers Twente have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pafos 11%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Twente 2–0 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Twente vs Pafos?
Twente vs Pafos (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
