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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fafe v Lajense: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

Fafe

LWDDW
4–0
FT

Lajense

DLLWD
Fafe 69%Draw 20%Lajense 11% Expected goals 0.95 – 0.05
69%
Betarazi pick

Fafe to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFafe to win ✓69% · @1.25
Double chanceFafe or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗35% · fair 2.86

Fafe vs Lajense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Taça De Portugal brings Fafe against Lajense. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT.

Current form

Fafe, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Paredes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lajense, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 5–5 draw with Real, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fafe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Lajense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 0.9 xG, Lajense 0.1 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 69%, draw 20%, Lajense 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fafe to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–0 Lajense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fafe69%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.75
Lajense11%fair 8.93 · @10.00
1.00Expected goals
0.95Fafe xG
0.05Lajense xG
40%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–035%
2–017%
3–05%
0–12%
1–12%

From our goals model: Fafe 0.9 – 0.1 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFafe to win ✓69%1.461.25
Double chanceFafe or draw ✓89%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.671.65
Draw no betFafe (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapLajense +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreFafe to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗65%1.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗35%2.86–

Recent results

Fafe – last 6

LWDDWD
13 Sep@ Paredes1–2L
6 Sep@ Leça3–0W
29 Aug@ Pacos Ferreira0–0D
21 Augvs Guimaraes B1–1D
16 Aug@ São João Ver3–1W
9 Augvs Vianense0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lajense – last 6

DLLWDL
13 Sep@ Real5–5D
6 Sepvs Vitoria Setubal0–1L
4 Apr@ Naval 18931–2L
22 Marvs Lusitânia3–1W
15 Mar@ Mortágua1–1D
8 Marvs UD da Serra0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fafe and Lajense.

Fafe vs Lajense head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fafe vs Lajense?

Our pick is Fafe to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fafe vs Lajense?

On our numbers Fafe have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lajense 11%.

How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Lajense?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Lajense?

Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 Lajense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Fafe vs Lajense?

Fafe vs Lajense (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.