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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cinfães v Leixoes: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal

Cinfães

LDWWD
0–4
FT

Leixoes

DWWLW
Cinfães 10%Draw 23%Leixoes 68% Expected goals 0.05 – 0.95
68%
Betarazi pick

Leixoes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLeixoes to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceLeixoes or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗35% · fair 2.85

Cinfães vs Leixoes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Taça De Portugal brings Cinfães against Leixoes. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Cinfães, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Salgueiros, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Leixoes, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Torreense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cinfães 0.0 xG, Leixoes 1.0 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cinfães 10%, draw 23%, Leixoes 68%.
  • GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leixoes to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cinfães 0–1 Leixoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cinfães10%fair 10.51 · @7.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.90
Leixoes68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
1.00Expected goals
0.05Cinfães xG
0.95Leixoes xG
40%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–135%
0–217%
0–35%
1–02%
1–12%

From our goals model: Cinfães 0.0 – 1.0 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeixoes to win ✓68%1.481.36
Double chanceLeixoes or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.661.80 ▲
Draw no betLeixoes (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapCinfães +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreLeixoes to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗65%1.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗35%2.85–

Recent results

Cinfães – last 6

LDWWDD
13 Sep@ Salgueiros0–1L
6 Sepvs Beira-Mar2–2D
30 Augvs Espinho1–0W
16 Augvs Sousense2–0W
1 Augvs AD Marco 091–1D
22 Mar@ Beira-Mar1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Leixoes – last 6

DWWLWL
11 Sep@ Torreense0–0D
6 Sepvs Amarante3–1W
29 Aug@ Portimonense2–0W
22 Augvs União de Leiria2–4L
16 Augvs Tondela1–0W
10 Aug@ Benfica B0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cinfães and Leixoes.

Cinfães vs Leixoes head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Fafe4 Lajense0 169%1.25X20%4.75211%10.00 0.9–0.1xG 1Fafe to win 69%@1.25 ✓
FT Fátima4 Vinhais1 172%1.22X19%4.6029%15.00 2.9–1.1xG 1Fátima to win 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Bragança6 Celoricense1 161%1.80X25%3.10214%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XBragança or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Mortágua0 Leça2 118%4.60X22%3.10260%1.70 2Leça to win 60%@1.70 ✓
FT Ponte da Barca0 Amarante2 110%15.00X17%5.00273%1.18 2Amarante to win 73%@1.18 ✓
FT FC Serpa1 Louletano1 AET 1–2 117%3.75X24%3.00259%1.85 0.4–1.1xG X2Louletano or draw 83%@1.22 ✓
FT Sintrense0 AVS2 117%4.80X21%3.40263%1.60 1.4–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.75 ✗
FT Paredes5 Maria da Fonte1 171%1.22X17%4.75212%13.00 1.9–0.6xG 1Paredes to win 71%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cinfães vs Leixoes?

Our pick is Leixoes to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Cinfães vs Leixoes?

On our numbers Cinfães have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leixoes 68%.

How many goals will there be in Cinfães vs Leixoes?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cinfães vs Leixoes?

Our predicted score is Cinfães 0–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Cinfães vs Leixoes?

Cinfães vs Leixoes (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.