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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Harborough Town v St Albans City: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Harborough Town

LWDLL
3–2
FT

St Albans City

WWDWD
Harborough Town 37%Draw 20%St Albans City 43% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.24
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: St Albans City to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSt Albans City to win ✗43% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 33.74

Harborough Town vs St Albans City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Harborough Town v St Albans City in the FA Cup.

Current form

Harborough Town, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Macclesfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

St Albans City, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bury Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours St Albans City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Harborough Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harborough Town 1.1 xG, St Albans City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Harborough Town 37%, draw 20%, St Albans City 43%.
  • Price worth noting: St Albans City to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harborough Town 1–2 St Albans City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harborough Town37%fair 2.68 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
St Albans City43%fair 2.34 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.13Harborough Town xG
1.24St Albans City xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.1 – 1.2 St Albans City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Albans City to win ✗43%2.343.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.94–
Draw no betSt Albans City (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapHarborough Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreSt Albans City to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Albans City / FT St Albans City ✗22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3%33.74–

Recent results

Harborough Town – last 6

LWDLLW
26 Sep@ Macclesfield0–1L
19 Sepvs Rushall Olympic1–0W
12 Sepvs AFC Telford United0–0D
8 Sepvs Hereford0–3L
5 Sep@ Brackley Town0–1L
31 Augvs Marine2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

St Albans City – last 6

WWDWDD
26 Sepvs Bury Town4–1W
19 Sep@ Witham Town3–0W
15 Sep@ Cray Wanderers3–3D
12 Sepvs Three Bridges4–0W
5 Sepvs Hashtag United0–0D
31 Aug@ Cheshunt1–1D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and St Albans City.

Harborough Town vs St Albans City head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Brentwood Town3 Dagenham & Redbridge1 117%5.00X17%4.75266%1.42 1.0–2.2xG 2Dagenham & Redbridge to win 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Barton Town Old Boys1 Chorley4 122%5.00X16%5.00262%1.40 0.8–1.7xG 2Chorley to win 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 Chelmsford City2 140%2.50X23%3.20238%2.50 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Bury2 Bromsgrove Sporting1 162%1.91X14%3.50224%3.20 2.5–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Bury Town1 Spalding United1 139%2.80X21%3.50240%2.10 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Buxton0 South Shields2 130%3.00X21%3.50249%2.00 1.6–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Cambridge City1 Alvechurch2 124%3.60X15%3.60262%1.80 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Chesham United4 Real Bedford3 142%2.15X21%3.40237%2.75 2.3–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs St Albans City?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Harborough Town vs St Albans City?

On our numbers Harborough Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St Albans City 43%.

How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs St Albans City?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs St Albans City?

Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–2 St Albans City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Harborough Town vs St Albans City?

Harborough Town vs St Albans City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.