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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leiston v Coventry United: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Leiston

LLLWW
3–1
FT

Coventry United

WWL
Leiston 64%Draw 22%Coventry United 15% Expected goals 1.92 – 0.80
64%
Betarazi pick

Leiston to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeiston to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceLeiston or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.84

Leiston vs Coventry United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the FA Cup brings Leiston against Coventry United. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Leiston, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Real Bedford, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Coventry United, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hednesford Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Coventry United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Leiston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leiston 1.9 xG, Coventry United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leiston 64%, draw 22%, Coventry United 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leiston or draw (85%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leiston to win (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leiston 1–0 Coventry United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leiston64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.75
Coventry United15%fair 6.81 · @3.90
2.71Expected goals
1.92Leiston xG
0.80Coventry United xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Leiston 1.9 – 0.8 Coventry United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeiston to win ✓64%1.571.67 ▲
Double chanceLeiston or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betLeiston (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapLeiston -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreLeiston to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLeiston ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leiston / FT Leiston ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%12.84–

Recent results

Leiston – last 6

LLLWWD
29 Sep@ Real Bedford2–3L
26 Sepvs Dartford0–3L
22 Sepvs Peterborough Sports0–2L
19 Sep@ Hitchin Town2–1W
12 Sep@ Banbury United2–1W
5 Sep@ Grays Athletic0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Coventry United – last 3

WWL
19 Sep@ Hednesford Town1–0W
5 Sepvs Bedworth United2–1W
29 Augvs Kidsgrove Athletic1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leiston and Coventry United.

Leiston vs Coventry United head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Brentwood Town3 Dagenham & Redbridge1 117%5.00X17%4.75266%1.42 1.0–2.2xG 2Dagenham & Redbridge to win 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Barton Town Old Boys1 Chorley4 122%5.00X16%5.00262%1.40 0.8–1.7xG 2Chorley to win 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 Chelmsford City2 140%2.50X23%3.20238%2.50 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Bury2 Bromsgrove Sporting1 162%1.91X14%3.50224%3.20 2.5–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Bury Town1 Spalding United1 139%2.80X21%3.50240%2.10 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Buxton0 South Shields2 130%3.00X21%3.50249%2.00 1.6–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Cambridge City1 Alvechurch2 124%3.60X15%3.60262%1.80 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Chesham United4 Real Bedford3 142%2.15X21%3.40237%2.75 2.3–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leiston vs Coventry United?

Our pick is Leiston to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Leiston vs Coventry United?

On our numbers Leiston have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coventry United 15%.

How many goals will there be in Leiston vs Coventry United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leiston vs Coventry United?

Our predicted score is Leiston 1–0 Coventry United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Leiston vs Coventry United?

Leiston vs Coventry United (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.