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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plymouth Parkway v Horsham: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Plymouth Parkway

DLWWW
2–1
FT

Horsham

DWLDD
Plymouth Parkway 43%Draw 21%Horsham 36% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.41
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds
1

Value bet: Plymouth Parkway to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.29

Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Plymouth Parkway v Horsham in the FA Cup.

Current form

Plymouth Parkway, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gloucester City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Horsham, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chelmsford City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Plymouth Parkway, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Horsham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth Parkway 1.6 xG, Horsham 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth Parkway 43%, draw 21%, Horsham 36%.
  • Price worth noting: Plymouth Parkway to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth Parkway 2–1 Horsham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plymouth Parkway43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Horsham36%fair 2.81 · @2.40
2.99Expected goals
1.58Plymouth Parkway xG
1.41Horsham xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%

From our goals model: Plymouth Parkway 1.6 – 1.4 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓43%2.322.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betPlymouth Parkway (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapHorsham +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scorePlymouth Parkway to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✓25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.29–

Recent results

Plymouth Parkway – last 6

DLWWWW
29 Sep@ Gloucester City1–1D
26 Sepvs Bath City0–3L
22 Sepvs Frome Town2–0W
19 Sep@ Frome Town2–0W
12 Sep@ Sholing3–1W
5 Sep@ Gosport Borough3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Horsham – last 6

DWLDDL
26 Sep@ Chelmsford City0–0D
19 Sep@ Walton & Hersham3–0W
12 Sepvs Chesham United1–4L
8 Sep@ Folkestone Invicta1–1D
5 Sepvs Dagenham & Redbridge1–1D
29 Augvs Farnham Town1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth Parkway and Horsham.

Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Brentwood Town3 Dagenham & Redbridge1 117%5.00X17%4.75266%1.42 1.0–2.2xG 2Dagenham & Redbridge to win 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Barton Town Old Boys1 Chorley4 122%5.00X16%5.00262%1.40 0.8–1.7xG 2Chorley to win 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 Chelmsford City2 140%2.50X23%3.20238%2.50 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Bury2 Bromsgrove Sporting1 162%1.91X14%3.50224%3.20 2.5–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Bury Town1 Spalding United1 139%2.80X21%3.50240%2.10 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Buxton0 South Shields2 130%3.00X21%3.50249%2.00 1.6–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Cambridge City1 Alvechurch2 124%3.60X15%3.60262%1.80 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Chesham United4 Real Bedford3 142%2.15X21%3.40237%2.75 2.3–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?

On our numbers Plymouth Parkway have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Horsham 36%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?

Our predicted score is Plymouth Parkway 2–1 Horsham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham?

Plymouth Parkway vs Horsham (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.