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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spennymoor Town v Chester: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England
4–1
FT

Chester

WWLLD
Spennymoor Town 36%Draw 23%Chester 41% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.62
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultChester to win ✗41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Spennymoor Town vs Chester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spennymoor Town welcome Chester for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Spennymoor Town, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Southport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Chester, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Worksop Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spennymoor Town 1.5 xG, Chester 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spennymoor Town 36%, draw 23%, Chester 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spennymoor Town 1–2 Chester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spennymoor Town36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Chester41%fair 2.45 · @2.35
3.14Expected goals
1.52Spennymoor Town xG
1.62Chester xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Spennymoor Town 1.5 – 1.6 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChester to win ✗41%2.452.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.93–
Draw no betChester (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapSpennymoor Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
First team to scoreChester to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chester / FT Chester ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Spennymoor Town – last 6

DWDLLD
26 Sep@ Southport2–2D
19 Sep@ AFC Emley4–0W
12 Sepvs Macclesfield1–1D
8 Sepvs Spalding United1–3L
5 Sep@ Hereford1–2L
31 Augvs Hednesford Town1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chester – last 6

WWLLDL
26 Sepvs Worksop Town4–1W
19 Sep@ Lower Breck2–1W
12 Sep@ Buxton1–3L
8 Sepvs Merthyr Town0–1L
5 Sep@ Hebburn Town1–1D
31 Augvs Morecambe0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spennymoor Town and Chester.

Spennymoor Town vs Chester head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spennymoor Town vs Chester?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chester?

On our numbers Spennymoor Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chester 41%.

How many goals will there be in Spennymoor Town vs Chester?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spennymoor Town vs Chester?

Our predicted score is Spennymoor Town 1–2 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Spennymoor Town vs Chester?

Spennymoor Town vs Chester (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.