Tonbridge Angels v Torquay Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTorquay to win ✓48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.62

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.53

Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the FA Cup brings Tonbridge Angels against Torquay. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Tonbridge Angels, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ebbsfleet United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Torquay, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Billericay Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tonbridge Angels 1.8 xG, Torquay 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tonbridge Angels 32%, draw 21%, Torquay 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tonbridge Angels32%fair 3.17 · @3.00

Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50

Torquay48%fair 2.10 · @2.00

4.01Expected goals

1.80Tonbridge Angels xG

2.21Torquay xG

58%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%

1–17%

2–27%

2–16%

1–36%

2–35%

From our goals model: Tonbridge Angels 1.8 – 2.2 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Torquay to win ✓	48%	2.10	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	–
Draw no bet	Torquay (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Tonbridge Angels +1 (Asian handicap)	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	63%	1.60	–
First team to score	Torquay to score first ✓	54%	1.84	–
Half-time result	Torquay ahead at half-time ✗	39%	2.60	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Torquay / FT Torquay ✗	30%	3.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.53	–

Tonbridge Angels – last 6

LWDLWW

26 Sep	vs Ebbsfleet United	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Ramsgate	2–1	W
12 Sep	@ Hemel Hempstead Town	1–1	D
8 Sep	vs Maidstone Utd	0–1	L
5 Sep	@ Farnborough	4–0	W
31 Aug	vs Walton & Hersham	5–1	W

2.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Torquay – last 6

LWDWWL

26 Sep	@ Billericay Town	0–3	L
19 Sep	vs AFC Stoneham	6–1	W
12 Sep	vs Dorking Wanderers	2–2	D
8 Sep	@ Maidenhead	4–0	W
5 Sep	vs Folkestone Invicta	3–2	W
31 Aug	@ Farnham Town	0–2	L

2.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?

On our numbers Tonbridge Angels have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torquay 48%.

How many goals will there be in Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?

Our predicted score is Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?

Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tonbridge Angels v Torquay: numbers & prediction