Value bet: Gimnasia Concepción to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Torneo Federal A brings 9 de Julio Rafaela against Gimnasia Concepción at El Coloso. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd (lower half) with 17.
Current form
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Gimnasia Concepción, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gimnasia Concepción, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over 9 de Julio Rafaela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Concepción, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Gimnasia Concepción 4–1 9 de Julio Rafaela. The last 2 head-to-heads: 9 de Julio Rafaela 0 wins, Gimnasia Concepción 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 xG, Gimnasia Concepción 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 23%, Gimnasia Concepción 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia Concepción to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
9 de Julio Rafaela44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.00
Gimnasia Concepción33%fair 3.01 · @3.40
2.40Expected goals
1.319 de Julio Rafaela xG
1.09Gimnasia Concepción xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 1.1 Gimnasia Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gimnasia Concepción 33%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
