Kimberley Mar del Plata 60%Draw 23%Deportivo Rincon 17%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.43
60%
Betarazi pick
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceKimberley Mar del Plata or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.30
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Rincon travel to face Kimberley Mar del Plata on Sunday 18 October in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Jose Antonio Valle the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Rincon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Rincon, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kimberley Mar del Plata, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Deportivo Rincon 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.2 xG, Deportivo Rincon 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kimberley Mar del Plata 60%, draw 23%, Deportivo Rincon 17%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kimberley Mar del Plata to win (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kimberley Mar del Plata60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @2.88
Deportivo Rincon17%fair 5.97 · @5.50
1.67Expected goals
1.24Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.43Deportivo Rincon xG
41%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–019%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.2 – 0.4 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Kimberley Mar del Plata or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.44
Draw no bet
Kimberley Mar del Plata (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Rincon +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Kimberley Mar del Plata to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kimberley Mar del Plata / FT Kimberley Mar del Plata✗
What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Kimberley Mar del Plata to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Rincon 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
