Gimnasia Chivilcoy v Defensores de Vilelas: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Jose Maria Paz

Defensores de Vilelas

DDWLD

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 68%Draw 23%Defensores de Vilelas 9% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.47

68%

Betarazi pick

Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating

1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗68% · @1.35

Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓91% · @1.07

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Defensores de Vilelas travel to face Gimnasia Chivilcoy on Sunday 18 October in the Torneo Federal A, with Jose Maria Paz the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Defensores de Vilelas are 24th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensores de Vilelas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Defensores de Vilelas, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Defensores de Vilelas 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.7 xG, Defensores de Vilelas 0.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Chivilcoy 68%, draw 23%, Defensores de Vilelas 9%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Chivilcoy68%fair 1.48 · @1.35

Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.33

Defensores de Vilelas9%fair 11.14 · @8.00

2.20Expected goals

1.73Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG

0.47Defensores de Vilelas xG

48%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

2–017%

0–011%

3–010%

1–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.7 – 0.5 Defensores de Vilelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗	68%	1.48	1.35
Double chance	Gimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓	91%	1.10	1.07
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.67
Draw no bet	Gimnasia Chivilcoy (draw no bet)	88%	1.13	–
Asian handicap	Gimnasia Chivilcoy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Gimnasia Chivilcoy to score first ✗	70%	1.43	–
Half-time result	Gimnasia Chivilcoy ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gimnasia Chivilcoy / FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy ✗	43%	2.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.22	–

Recent results

Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6

DLLDWW

11 Oct	@ Defensores de Vilelas	1–1	D
4 Oct	vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1–2	L
27 Sep	@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1–2	L
20 Sep	@ Douglas Haig	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Bartolomé Mitre	1–0	W
30 Aug	vs Sarmiento de La Banda	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Defensores de Vilelas – last 6

DDWLDL

11 Oct	vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy	1–1	D
20 Sep	@ Boca Unidos	3–3	D
13 Sep	vs Independiente De Chivilcoy	2–0	W
7 Sep	@ Atletico Escobar	1–2	L
23 Aug	vs El Linqueño	0–0	D
16 Aug	@ Gimnasia Concepción	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026

Defensores de Vilelas v Gimnasia Chivilcoy

1–1

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Bartolomé Mitre0

Boca Unidos1 161%1.75X24%3.10215%4.75 1.5–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✗

9 de Julio Rafaela1

Gimnasia Concepción0 144%2.00X23%3.00233%3.40 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Douglas Haig1

El Linqueño0 160%1.65X22%3.30218%5.00 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Huracan Las Heras1

Juventud Antoniana0 139%2.30X26%2.62234%3.20 0.9–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.62 ✓

Kimberley Mar del Plata2

Deportivo Rincon1 160%1.73X23%2.88217%5.50 1.2–0.4xG 1Kimberley Mar del Plata to win 60%@1.73 ✓

Sarmiento de La Banda0

Sportivo Belgrano0 162%1.85X25%2.90213%4.10 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Villa Mitre2

Costa Brava0 169%1.40X24%3.5027%8.50 1.6–0.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✓

Alvarado0

Cipolletti0 162%1.80X26%2.90212%4.50 1.6–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our pick is Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensores de Vilelas 9%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.