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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alvarado v Cipolletti: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina

Alvarado

LWDDL
0–0
FT

Cipolletti

WWLWW
Alvarado 62%Draw 26%Cipolletti 12% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.54
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Alvarado to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlvarado to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.23

Alvarado vs Cipolletti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cipolletti travel to face Alvarado on Sunday 18 October in the Torneo Federal A – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Cipolletti are 12th (upper half) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Alvarado, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cipolletti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cipolletti, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alvarado, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cipolletti, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Alvarado.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Cipolletti 1–0 Alvarado. The last 2 head-to-heads: Alvarado 0 wins, Cipolletti 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.6 xG, Cipolletti 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 62%, draw 26%, Cipolletti 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Alvarado to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Cipolletti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alvarado62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.90
Cipolletti12%fair 8.19 · @4.50
2.10Expected goals
1.56Alvarado xG
0.54Cipolletti xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Alvarado 1.6 – 0.5 Cipolletti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlvarado to win ✗62%1.621.80 ▲
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓88%1.141.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.57
Draw no betAlvarado (draw no bet)84%1.20–
Asian handicapAlvarado -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.05
First team to scoreAlvarado to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alvarado / FT Alvarado ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.23–

Recent results

Alvarado – last 6

LWDDLW
11 Oct@ Cipolletti0–1L
4 Octvs Defensores de Belgrano VR2–0W
27 Sep@ Defensores de Belgrano VR2–2D
20 Sepvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1D
13 Sep@ Cipolletti0–1L
6 Sepvs Atenas3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cipolletti – last 6

WWLWWD
11 Octvs Alvarado1–0W
4 Octvs Sol de América6–1W
27 Sep@ Sol de América0–1L
19 Sep@ Juventud Antoniana2–0W
13 Sepvs Alvarado1–0W
6 Sep@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Cipolletti v Alvarado1–0
13 Sep 2026Cipolletti v Alvarado1–0
Alvarado vs Cipolletti head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub
FT Bartolomé Mitre0 Boca Unidos1 161%1.75X24%3.10215%4.75 1.5–0.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✗
FT 9 de Julio Rafaela1 Gimnasia Concepción0 144%2.00X23%3.00233%3.40 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Douglas Haig1 El Linqueño0 160%1.65X22%3.30218%5.00 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Huracan Las Heras1 Juventud Antoniana0 139%2.30X26%2.62234%3.20 0.9–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.62 ✓
FT Kimberley Mar del Plata2 Deportivo Rincon1 160%1.73X23%2.88217%5.50 1.2–0.4xG 1Kimberley Mar del Plata to win 60%@1.73 ✓
FT Sarmiento de La Banda0 Sportivo Belgrano0 162%1.85X25%2.90213%4.10 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Villa Mitre2 Costa Brava0 169%1.40X24%3.5027%8.50 1.6–0.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✓
FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy3 Defensores de Vilelas3 168%1.35X23%4.3329%8.00 1.7–0.5xG 1Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win 68%@1.35 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Cipolletti?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Alvarado vs Cipolletti?

On our numbers Alvarado have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cipolletti 12%.

How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Cipolletti?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Cipolletti?

Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Cipolletti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Alvarado vs Cipolletti?

Alvarado vs Cipolletti (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.