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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villa Mitre v Costa Brava: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
2–0
FT
Villa Mitre 69%Draw 24%Costa Brava 7% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.33
83%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultVilla Mitre to win ✓69% · @1.40
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.28

Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Costa Brava travel to face Villa Mitre on Sunday 18 October in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio El Fortin the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Villa Mitre are 16th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Costa Brava are 27th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Villa Mitre, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Costa Brava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Costa Brava, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villa Mitre, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Costa Brava, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Villa Mitre.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Costa Brava 1–1 Villa Mitre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villa Mitre 1.6 xG, Costa Brava 0.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Mitre 69%, draw 24%, Costa Brava 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Mitre 1–0 Costa Brava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villa Mitre69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.50
Costa Brava7%fair 13.36 · @8.50
1.91Expected goals
1.58Villa Mitre xG
0.33Costa Brava xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
2–018%
0–015%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%

From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.6 – 0.3 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVilla Mitre to win ✓69%1.451.40
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓93%1.081.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.751.44
Draw no betVilla Mitre (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapVilla Mitre -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.651.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.06
First team to scoreVilla Mitre to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villa Mitre / FT Villa Mitre ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23%4.28–

Recent results

Villa Mitre – last 6

DDLWDD
11 Oct@ Costa Brava1–1D
20 Sepvs Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
13 Sep@ Argentino Monte Maíz0–1L
30 Augvs Huracan Las Heras3–0W
22 Aug@ Juventud Antoniana0–0D
16 Augvs Alvarado0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Costa Brava – last 6

DWWDLW
11 Octvs Villa Mitre1–1D
20 Sepvs Sol de Mayo1–0W
13 Sep@ Santamarina3–1W
6 Sep@ Deportivo Rincon1–1D
30 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.1–2L
23 Aug@ Circulo Deportivo1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Costa Brava v Villa Mitre1–1
Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Costa Brava 7%.

How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava?

Villa Mitre vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.