Sarmiento de La Banda 62%Draw 25%Sportivo Belgrano 13%Expected goals 1.57 – 0.57
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarmiento de La Banda welcome Sportivo Belgrano to Stadio Ciudad de La Banda for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 18 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sarmiento de La Banda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Sportivo Belgrano 1–1 Sarmiento de La Banda. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sarmiento de La Banda 1 win, Sportivo Belgrano 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento de La Banda 1.6 xG, Sportivo Belgrano 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento de La Banda 62%, draw 25%, Sportivo Belgrano 13%.
Lower-risk option: Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento de La Banda62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Sportivo Belgrano13%fair 7.68 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.57Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.57Sportivo Belgrano xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.6 – 0.6 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento de La Banda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Belgrano 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
