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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bedford Town v Wingate & Finchley: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Bedford Town

DWLWW
2–2
FT

Wingate & Finchley

WWDWL
Bedford Town 62%Draw 21%Wingate & Finchley 17% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.83
62%
Betarazi pick

Bedford Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultBedford Town to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceBedford Town or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.87

Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bedford Town welcome Wingate & Finchley for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Bedford Town, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hereford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Wingate & Finchley, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Bedford, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bedford Town 1.8 xG, Wingate & Finchley 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bedford Town 62%, draw 21%, Wingate & Finchley 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bedford Town or draw (83%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bedford Town to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bedford Town 1–0 Wingate & Finchley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bedford Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Wingate & Finchley17%fair 5.88 · @4.33
2.66Expected goals
1.84Bedford Town xG
0.83Wingate & Finchley xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Bedford Town 1.8 – 0.8 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBedford Town to win ✗62%1.611.57
Double chanceBedford Town or draw ✓83%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betBedford Town (draw no bet)78%1.27–
Asian handicapBedford Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreBedford Town to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultBedford Town ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bedford Town / FT Bedford Town ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%13.87–

Recent results

Bedford Town – last 6

DWLWWW
26 Sepvs Hereford1–1D
19 Sepvs King's Lynn Town2–1W
12 Sep@ Spalding United1–2L
8 Sep@ Worksop Town2–1W
5 Sepvs Radcliffe1–0W
31 Aug@ AFC Telford United1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wingate & Finchley – last 6

WWDWLD
26 Sep@ Real Bedford3–0W
22 Sepvs Hemel Hempstead Town2–1W
19 Sep@ Hemel Hempstead Town1–1D
14 Sep@ Aveley4–3W
12 Sep@ Welling United1–4L
5 Sepvs Felixstowe & Walton Utd0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bedford Town and Wingate & Finchley.

Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Brentwood Town3 Dagenham & Redbridge1 117%5.00X17%4.75266%1.42 1.0–2.2xG 2Dagenham & Redbridge to win 66%@1.42 ✗
FT Barton Town Old Boys1 Chorley4 122%5.00X16%5.00262%1.40 0.8–1.7xG 2Chorley to win 62%@1.40 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 Chelmsford City2 140%2.50X23%3.20238%2.50 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.80 ✓
FT Bury2 Bromsgrove Sporting1 162%1.91X14%3.50224%3.20 2.5–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✓
FT Bury Town1 Spalding United1 139%2.80X21%3.50240%2.10 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.67 ✗
FT Buxton0 South Shields2 130%3.00X21%3.50249%2.00 1.6–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Cambridge City1 Alvechurch2 124%3.60X15%3.60262%1.80 1.4–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Chesham United4 Real Bedford3 142%2.15X21%3.40237%2.75 2.3–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Our pick is Bedford Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

On our numbers Bedford Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wingate & Finchley 17%.

How many goals will there be in Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Our predicted score is Bedford Town 1–0 Wingate & Finchley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.