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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brito v Vitória de Sernache: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal · Parque de Jogos do Brito SC

Brito

LWLWL
0–1
FT

Vitória de Sernache

WWLLW
Brito 32%Draw 23%Vitória de Sernache 45% Expected goals 1.67 – 2.00
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitória de Sernache to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Brito vs Vitória de Sernache: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Brito welcome Vitória de Sernache to Parque de Jogos do Brito SC for a Taça De Portugal fixture on Sunday 18 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Brito, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Chaves II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Vitória de Sernache, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Louletano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vitória de Sernache, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Brito.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brito 1.7 xG, Vitória de Sernache 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brito 32%, draw 23%, Vitória de Sernache 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brito 1–2 Vitória de Sernache. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brito32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Vitória de Sernache45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
3.67Expected goals
1.67Brito xG
2.00Vitória de Sernache xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: Brito 1.7 – 2.0 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitória de Sernache to win ✓45%2.212.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.521.62 ▲
Draw no betVitória de Sernache (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapBrito +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
First team to scoreVitória de Sernache to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultVitória de Sernache ahead at half-time ✗37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitória de Sernache / FT Vitória de Sernache ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Brito – last 6

LWLWLL
11 Octvs Chaves II0–4L
20 Sep@ Vila Pouca5–0W
13 Sep@ Tirsense0–2L
6 Sepvs Maria da Fonte2–1W
23 Aug@ Montalegre0–2L
16 Augvs Bragança2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vitória de Sernache – last 6

WWLLWL
10 Octvs Louletano1–0W
19 Sepvs Varzim2–1W
13 Sep@ Caldas0–2L
6 Sepvs CF Os Belenenses1–3L
30 Aug@ Nazarenos3–0W
23 Aug@ Oliveirense2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brito and Vitória de Sernache.

Brito vs Vitória de Sernache head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Fátima1 Academico Viseu0 114%9.00X17%4.80269%1.25 1.4–3.1xG 2Academico Viseu to win 69%@1.25 ✗
FT Lusitânia Lourosa2 Os Limianos1 176%1.12X17%6.5027%17.00 3.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.45 ✓
FT Mafra2 Santa Clara2 AET 3–2 111%6.50X21%3.80269%1.40 1.4–3.1xG 2Santa Clara to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Salgueiros1 Estoril1 Pens 1–4 110%7.50X21%3.90268%1.36 0.4–1.6xG 2Estoril to win 68%@1.36 ✗
FT Tondela0 Alverca0 AET 2–0 128%3.00X23%3.10249%2.10 2.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.75 ✗
FT Paredes1 Famalicao0 111%6.00X24%3.75265%1.44 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.80 ✗
FT CF Os Belenenses3 Arouca3 AET 3–4 119%4.60X19%3.90262%1.55 0.8–1.7xG 2Arouca to win 62%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?

On our numbers Brito have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vitória de Sernache 45%.

How many goals will there be in Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?

Our predicted score is Brito 1–2 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?

Brito vs Vitória de Sernache (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque de Jogos do Brito SC.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.