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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fátima v Academico Viseu: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal · Estadio Papa Francisco

Fátima

LWLLW
1–0
FT

Academico Viseu

WWWWL
Fátima 14%Draw 17%Academico Viseu 69% Expected goals 1.43 – 3.07
69%
Betarazi pick

Academico Viseu to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAcademico Viseu to win ✗69% · @1.25
Double chanceAcademico Viseu or draw ✗86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.07

Fátima vs Academico Viseu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Taça De Portugal brings Fátima against Academico Viseu at Estadio Papa Francisco. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Fátima, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nazarenos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Academico Viseu, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estoril, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Academico Viseu, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Fátima.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fátima 1.4 xG, Academico Viseu 3.1 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fátima 14%, draw 17%, Academico Viseu 69%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Academico Viseu to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fátima 1–3 Academico Viseu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fátima14%fair 7.24 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @4.80
Academico Viseu69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
4.50Expected goals
1.43Fátima xG
3.07Academico Viseu xG
62%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
2–35%
2–25%
0–35%

From our goals model: Fátima 1.4 – 3.1 Academico Viseu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademico Viseu to win ✗69%1.451.25
Double chanceAcademico Viseu or draw ✗86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.91 ▲
Draw no betAcademico Viseu (draw no bet) ✗83%1.20–
Asian handicapAcademico Viseu -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
First team to scoreAcademico Viseu to score first ✗67%1.48–
Half-time resultAcademico Viseu ahead at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academico Viseu / FT Academico Viseu ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%13.07–

Recent results

Fátima – last 6

LWLLWW
11 Octvs Nazarenos1–3L
20 Sepvs Vinhais4–1W
13 Sepvs Oliveira Hospital0–1L
6 Sep@ Os Marialvas0–3L
29 Augvs Benfica Castelo Branco3–1W
23 Augvs Atlético Malveira5–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Academico Viseu – last 6

WWWWLD
10 Octvs Estoril2–1W
20 Sep@ Estrela2–0W
12 Sepvs Vitória SC2–1W
6 Sep@ GIL Vicente1–0W
29 Augvs FC Porto0–3L
22 Aug@ Maritimo2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fátima and Academico Viseu.

Fátima vs Academico Viseu head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Brito0 Vitória de Sernache1 132%3.00X23%3.00245%2.10 1.7–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✗
FT Lusitânia Lourosa2 Os Limianos1 176%1.12X17%6.5027%17.00 3.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.45 ✓
FT Mafra2 Santa Clara2 AET 3–2 111%6.50X21%3.80269%1.40 1.4–3.1xG 2Santa Clara to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Salgueiros1 Estoril1 Pens 1–4 110%7.50X21%3.90268%1.36 0.4–1.6xG 2Estoril to win 68%@1.36 ✗
FT Tondela0 Alverca0 AET 2–0 128%3.00X23%3.10249%2.10 2.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.75 ✗
FT Paredes1 Famalicao0 111%6.00X24%3.75265%1.44 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.80 ✗
FT CF Os Belenenses3 Arouca3 AET 3–4 119%4.60X19%3.90262%1.55 0.8–1.7xG 2Arouca to win 62%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fátima vs Academico Viseu?

Our pick is Academico Viseu to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fátima vs Academico Viseu?

On our numbers Fátima have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Academico Viseu 69%.

How many goals will there be in Fátima vs Academico Viseu?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fátima vs Academico Viseu?

Our predicted score is Fátima 1–3 Academico Viseu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Fátima vs Academico Viseu?

Fátima vs Academico Viseu (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Papa Francisco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.