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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paredes v Famalicao: numbers & prediction

Taça De Portugal · Portugal · Municipal das Laranjeiras

Paredes

DWWWW
1–0
FT

Famalicao

LWDDD
Paredes 11%Draw 24%Famalicao 65% Expected goals 1.66 – 3.34
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultFamalicao to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceFamalicao or draw ✗89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.80
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.41

Paredes vs Famalicao: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Paredes v Famalicao in the Taça De Portugal, played at Municipal das Laranjeiras.

Current form

Paredes, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Vianense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Famalicao, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Alverca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Paredes, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Famalicao.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paredes 1.7 xG, Famalicao 3.3 xG – a total near 5.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 88% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paredes 11%, draw 24%, Famalicao 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paredes 1–3 Famalicao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paredes11%fair 9.05 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
Famalicao65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
5.00Expected goals
1.66Paredes xG
3.34Famalicao xG
66%Both score
88%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–37%
1–26%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
2–45%

From our goals model: Paredes 1.7 – 3.3 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFamalicao to win ✗65%1.541.44
Double chanceFamalicao or draw ✗89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.521.80 ▲
Draw no betFamalicao (draw no bet) ✗85%1.17–
Asian handicapFamalicao -1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreFamalicao to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultFamalicao ahead at half-time ✗55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Famalicao / FT Famalicao ✗48%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7%14.41–

Recent results

Paredes – last 6

DWWWWL
10 Oct@ Vianense3–3D
20 Sepvs Maria da Fonte5–1W
13 Sepvs Fafe2–1W
5 Sep@ Varzim1–0W
30 Aug@ Ermesinde3–1W
23 Augvs Leça1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Famalicao – last 6

LWDDDL
12 Octvs Alverca1–4L
19 Sep@ Nacional4–0W
13 Sepvs Sporting CP1–1D
5 Sep@ Estrela2–2D
30 Augvs GIL Vicente0–0D
23 Aug@ Santa Clara0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Famalicao.

Paredes vs Famalicao head-to-head page →

More Taça De Portugal predictions

League hub
FT Brito0 Vitória de Sernache1 132%3.00X23%3.00245%2.10 1.7–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✗
FT Fátima1 Academico Viseu0 114%9.00X17%4.80269%1.25 1.4–3.1xG 2Academico Viseu to win 69%@1.25 ✗
FT Lusitânia Lourosa2 Os Limianos1 176%1.12X17%6.5027%17.00 3.0–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.45 ✓
FT Mafra2 Santa Clara2 AET 3–2 111%6.50X21%3.80269%1.40 1.4–3.1xG 2Santa Clara to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Salgueiros1 Estoril1 Pens 1–4 110%7.50X21%3.90268%1.36 0.4–1.6xG 2Estoril to win 68%@1.36 ✗
FT Tondela0 Alverca0 AET 2–0 128%3.00X23%3.10249%2.10 2.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.75 ✗
FT CF Os Belenenses3 Arouca3 AET 3–4 119%4.60X19%3.90262%1.55 0.8–1.7xG 2Arouca to win 62%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paredes vs Famalicao?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Paredes vs Famalicao?

On our numbers Paredes have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Famalicao 65%.

How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Famalicao?

We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Famalicao?

Our predicted score is Paredes 1–3 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.

When is Paredes vs Famalicao?

Paredes vs Famalicao (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.