San Martin Formosa 43%Draw 24%Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32%Expected goals 1.10 – 0.89
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.59
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Formosa welcome Olimpo Bahia Blanca to 17 De Octubre for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 18 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Martin Formosa, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin Formosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–1 San Martin Formosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.1 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 43%, draw 24%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Formosa43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Olimpo Bahia Blanca32%fair 3.09 · @3.70
1.99Expected goals
1.10San Martin Formosa xG
0.89Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.1 – 0.9 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.