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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martin Formosa v Olimpo Bahia Blanca: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17 De Octubre
San Martin Formosa 43%Draw 24%Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.89
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.59

San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Martin Formosa welcome Olimpo Bahia Blanca to 17 De Octubre for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 18 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

San Martin Formosa, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin Formosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–1 San Martin Formosa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.1 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 43%, draw 24%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin Formosa43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Olimpo Bahia Blanca32%fair 3.09 · @3.70
1.99Expected goals
1.10San Martin Formosa xG
0.89Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.1 – 0.9 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓43%2.312.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.982.50 ▲
Draw no betSan Martin Formosa (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapOlimpo Bahia Blanca +1 (Asian handicap) ✗78%1.27–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.181.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.03
First team to scoreSan Martin Formosa to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa ✓23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.59–

Recent results

San Martin Formosa – last 6

DDWDWL
11 Oct@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca1–1D
4 Octvs Atenas1–1D
27 Sep@ Atenas1–0W
20 Sep@ Bartolomé Mitre0–0D
13 Sepvs Sarmiento de La Banda3–0W
6 Sep@ Defensores de Belgrano VR0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6

DWWDDL
11 Octvs San Martin Formosa1–1D
4 Oct@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1W
27 Sepvs Gimnasia Chivilcoy2–1W
20 Sep@ Alvarado1–1D
6 Sepvs Cipolletti1–1D
30 Aug@ Atenas0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Olimpo Bahia Blanca v San Martin Formosa1–1
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 32%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.